Category: Forecasts

Do Your Own Incremental Growth Analysis

Article in Briefings

April 24, 2024 1 minute read Digital penetration is a measure brands often employ to share how they’re doing from an eCommerce perspective. The thinking goes, the higher the better, usually. We’ve written multiple times about the limits of digital penetration, including it divides rather than unifies, doesn’t indicate much about the strategy, and doesn’t […]

Where eTailers Rank vs. the Market

Article in Forecasts

April 15, 2024 3 minute read Stratably’s eTailer Index comprises 13 of the largest eCommerce platforms in the U.S. market that account for $820 billion in annual global gross merchandise value (GMV). Analyzing the Index sheds light on a subset of eCommerce, and it illuminates performance differences for pure eCommerce models compared to their omnichannel […]

Mass Retailers Outpacing the Market by ~2x

Article in Forecasts

March 25, 2024 4 minute read The following analysis compares recent performance across Amazon, Walmart, and Target, which together make up Stratably’s Mass Index. Given their size, strategic importance to brands, and outperformance in the market, the performance analysis reveals who’s winning and losing and illuminates what’s driving success in retail today and what we […]

Analyzing Results from Costco’s Feb-24 Quarter

Article in Briefings

March 8, 2024 Yesterday, Costco shared results from its fiscal quarter ending Feb-24, including solid performance in both the in-store and digital businesses. Total company same store sales grew 4.8% in the U.S., driven more by traffic than ticket as inflation wanes, with management seeing Y/Y lower prices in some cases. Its strong in-store growth […]

Analyzing Kroger’s 4Q23 Results

Article in Briefings

March 7, 2024 Kroger’s 4Q and full year 2023 results published this morning were a continuation of trends seen during the last several quarters. Decelerating top line growth (adjusted comps +0.1%) was driven by moderating inflation and a challenging consumer backdrop, although Kroger is seeing more positive performance with its mainstream and upscale customer cohorts. […]

Analyzing Target’s 4Q23 Results

Article in Briefings

March 5, 2024 Target reported its fourth quarter and full year 2023 results this morning and hosted an investor meeting highlighting its focus areas for the future. In the quarter, Target saw another decline in comparable sales of -4.4%, although this represents an improvement for the second quarter in a row given moderating pressures in […]

Analyzing Walmart’s 4Q23 Results

Article in Briefings

February 20, 2024 Walmart released another quarter of sales and profit outperformance this morning, with value and eCommerce leading the way. Its commitment to EDLP and omnichannel conveniences for the consumer are driving strong transaction growth and share gains. Brands selling into Walmart cannot underestimate the importance of its eCommerce business: Global eCommerce grew 23% […]